> For the complete documentation index, see [llms.txt](https://www.bfm-unity.org/llms.txt). Markdown versions of documentation pages are available by appending `.md` to page URLs; this page is available as [Markdown](https://www.bfm-unity.org/3.0.0-1/bfm-eco.-bi-fang-meng-sheng-tai/command-room-discovery.md).

# BFM Eco. 🛰️

曾用名1：指挥室(探索) | Command Room (Discovery)🛰️

曾用名2：比坊梦生态风投(一级市场)🛰️

{% content-ref url="/pages/aLiuaZ8E5cckWqYFL8Kx" %}
[驾驶舱 (运行) （🔥）](/3.0.0-1/bfm-da-bi-fang-meng-shu-chan/management-cockpit-operation.md)
{% endcontent-ref %}

{% content-ref url="/pages/pg7mi0Q0F5KALJ9rEBD8" %}
[研究院 (架构)](/3.0.0-1/bfm-rins.-bi-fang-meng-ke-xue-yan-jiu-yuan/research-institute-development.md)
{% endcontent-ref %}

{% content-ref url="<https://github.com/guhhhhaa/bfm-gitbook/blob/v3.0.0/bfm-eco.-bi-fang-meng-sheng-tai/broken-reference/README.md>" %}
<https://github.com/guhhhhaa/bfm-gitbook/blob/v3.0.0/bfm-eco.-bi-fang-meng-sheng-tai/broken-reference/README.md>
{% endcontent-ref %}

![](/files/bNvRV6dealX7bMnNMGiu)

{% content-ref url="/pages/AvCEAiq3bFyCh6lZStaD" %}
[ETH - MainNet](/3.0.0-1/bfm-eco.-bi-fang-meng-sheng-tai/command-room-eth.md)
{% endcontent-ref %}

{% content-ref url="/pages/K4ajtnT98RWswZRx9sQI" %}
[BNB - BSC](/3.0.0-1/bfm-eco.-bi-fang-meng-sheng-tai/command-room-bsc.md)
{% endcontent-ref %}

{% content-ref url="/pages/NEh5hN2n9v7kl3jZDR0q" %}
[Matic - Polygon](/3.0.0-1/bfm-eco.-bi-fang-meng-sheng-tai/command-room-eth/zhi-hui-shi-polygonmatic.md)
{% endcontent-ref %}

{% content-ref url="/pages/CJ42AKpNSqRp9AK1yQbD" %}
[Arbitrum](/3.0.0-1/bfm-eco.-bi-fang-meng-sheng-tai/command-room-eth/zhi-hui-shi-arbitrum.md)
{% endcontent-ref %}

{% content-ref url="/pages/zQA3k3ZqnjXoRYOwVTIw" %}
[IPFS/FIL](/3.0.0-1/bfm-eco.-bi-fang-meng-sheng-tai/zhi-hui-shi-ipfsfil.md)
{% endcontent-ref %}

{% content-ref url="/pages/uhX8jguVQlyISZcIQ3NG" %}
[战略资产配置——卓尔金历 🕙](/3.0.0-1/bfm-da-bi-fang-meng-shu-chan/zi-chan-pei-zhi/the-tzolkin-calendar.md)
{% endcontent-ref %}

## 网络安全

[币安学院 - 安全](https://academy.binance.com/zh/articles?tags=security)

[5种常见的加密货币诈骗与防范策略](https://academy.binance.com/zh/articles/5-common-cryptocurrency-scams-and-how-to-avoid-them)

[8种常见的比特币骗局及其防范策略](https://academy.binance.com/zh/articles/8-common-bitcoin-scams-and-how-to-avoid-them)

[如何识别去中心化金融(DeFi)中的骗局](https://academy.binance.com/zh/articles/how-to-spot-scams-in-decentralized-finance-defi)

## 传统区块链

{% tabs %}
{% tab title="导航网站🧭" %}

* [**QKL123**](https://www.qkl123.com/data) **(比特币数据)**
* \*\*\*\*[**the Block**](https://www.theblockcrypto.com/data/) **(数据网站)**
* \*\*\*\*[**AssetDash**](https://assetdash.com/?all=true) **(现实市值比较)**
* \*\*\*\*[**Coin360**](https://coin360.com) **(加密市值比较)**
* [**BlockSite**](https://www.blocksite.org) **(项目介绍)**
* \*\*\*\*[**巴比特**](https://www.8btc.com) **&** [**链闻**](https://www.chainnews.com) **(新闻消息)**
* \*\*\*\*[**CoinMarketCap**](https://coinmarketcap.com) **(**[**CMC DeFi**](https://coinmarketcap.com/defi/)**) (**[**CMC Farming**](https://coinmarketcap.com/yield-farming/)**)**
* [**CoinGecko**](https://www.coingecko.com/zh/)
* [**messari.io**](https://messari.io)
* [**tokeninsight**](https://tokeninsight.com/zh)
* [**其他区块链数据分析网站**](https://medium.com/@chainnews/%E9%80%81%E4%BD%A0-22-%E4%B8%AA%E9%93%BE%E4%B8%8A%E6%95%B0%E6%8D%AE%E8%B5%84%E6%BA%90%E4%B8%8E%E5%8F%AF%E8%A7%86%E5%8C%96%E5%88%A9%E5%99%A8-%E6%B4%9E%E7%A9%BF%E5%8A%A0%E5%AF%86%E6%8A%95%E8%B5%84%E9%87%8D%E9%87%8D%E8%BF%B7%E9%9B%BE-b57f5b4b5727)
* [**Gas费**](https://gasnow.sparkpool.com)
* \*\*\*\*[**Block123**](https://www.block123.com/zh-hans/) **(导航网站)**
  {% endtab %}

{% tab title="挖矿🔨" %}

* \*\*\*\*[**好站点 - 云算力**](https://www.hzd.com/hashrate) \*\*\*\*
* [**Block123 - 云算力**](https://www.block123.com/zh-hant/c/016707973922.htm?tid=78)
* [**https://1234btc.com/**](https://1234btc.com)
* \*\*\*\*[**挖矿入门教程**](https://www.hzd.com/course)

**(仅供参考，不构成本网站意见)**
{% endtab %}

{% tab title="交易所🏦" %}

### **交易所**

[**CoinMarketCap交易所排名**](https://coinmarketcap.com/rankings/exchanges/)

* \*\*\*\*[**币安**](https://www.binancezh.co/cn/register?ref=EQ89E7WI) **（返现比例：我**10%，你10%**）**
* \*\*\*\*[**FTX 交易所**](https://ftx.com/#a=45676115) \*\*\*\* 600种加密货币、美股凭证任你买卖

![](/files/K93NakhCDh5HGQZN420N)

![](/files/bW2Wxl7zYm2QgyM4mvZp)

### [流动性挖矿](https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/swap/liquidity)

![](/files/wWweE6itZe8UTw1Apa2O)

![](/files/RYLSYYz8FQya3tWxlzCB)

### 量化

* [**币优 - BitUniverse**](https://www.bituniverse.org/zh-CN/index.html)
* \*\*\*\*[**派网 - Pionex**](https://www.pionex.cc/zh-CN/sign/ref/NxwM4W0S) \*\*\*\*
* \*\*\*\*[**MVRV**](https://charts.woobull.com/bitcoin-mvrv-ratio/) **（Woobull）或** [**MVRV**](https://www.blockchain.com/charts/mvrv)**（Blockchain.com）**
* \*\*\*\*[**MVRV**](https://medium.com/@kenoshaking/bitcoin-market-value-to-realized-value-mvrv-ratio-3ebc914dbaee)**：3.7**（表示高估）和 **1**（表示低估）

![](/files/HNMu03yrgPjQNaQaI49N)

![](/files/GIEEYa1ifXDl5qFigCe7)
{% endtab %}

{% tab title="法币交易👔" %}

### 法币交易又名：OTC(场外交易)或 C2C(客户对客户交易)

![](/files/9XJr0J2weAvODmjT3tRw)

* [**比特派钱包**](https://bitpie.com)（**推荐**）

![](/files/o6sKmcCY4iFLM2gfXslP)

* \*\*\*\*[**币安**](https://www.binance.com/cn) **（需要交提币手续费）**

![](/files/bW2Wxl7zYm2QgyM4mvZp)
{% endtab %}

{% tab title="钱包💰" %}
![](/files/7dvR0WDHvDq0j5zBSKpE)

* [**TrustWallet**](https://trustwallet.com)**（**[BIP44](https://learnblockchain.cn/2018/09/28/hdwallet/)钱包\*\*）\*\*
* [**比特派钱包**](https://bitpie.com)\*\*（\*\*非[BIP44](https://learnblockchain.cn/2018/09/28/hdwallet/)，可添加[BIP44](https://learnblockchain.cn/2018/09/28/hdwallet/)，支持法币交易）
* [**BitKeep**](https://bitkeep.org)（[BIP44](https://learnblockchain.cn/2018/09/28/hdwallet/)钱包，对DeFi支持较好）
* [**TokenPocket**](https://www.tokenpocket.pro)（[BIP44](https://learnblockchain.cn/2018/09/28/hdwallet/)钱包，对DeFi支持较好）
* [**更多-钱包筛选器**](https://www.qkl123.com/ranking/wallet?filter=true)

![](/files/CknvhxrkOYt46Uaedy8i)
{% endtab %}

{% tab title="技术社区🏠" %}

* [**ETHfans**](https://ethfans.org)\*\*\*\*
  {% endtab %}

{% tab title="刻字" %}
[**如何在区块链上刻字**](https://www.jianshu.com/p/3668a66f3eba)\*\*\*\*

[**刻字2**](https://www.babaofan.com/news/popular/53507.html)

[**刻字3**](https://www.528btc.com/ask/158555831343012.html)
{% endtab %}

{% tab title="发币" %}
[如何发币](https://www.chainnews.com/articles/522868612900.htm)——UNI

[如何发币](https://sushiswapchef.medium.com/miso-minimal-initial-sushiswap-offering-a45a2da6081b)——SUSHI

<https://vittominacori.github.io/erc20-generator/create-token/>
{% endtab %}
{% endtabs %}

## 数据分析工具

* \*\*\*\*[**Dune Analytic**](https://duneanalytics.com/home)
  * [**DEX - Dune Analytics**](https://duneanalytics.com/hagaetc/dex-metrics)
  * [**MakerDAO - Dune Analytics**](https://duneanalytics.com/hagaetc/maker-dao---mcd)
  * \*\*\*\*[**0x - Dune Analytic**](https://duneanalytics.com/0x/0x-trading-activity)
* [**Messari**](https://messari.io)
* [**NansΞn**](https://www.nansen.ai)
  * **Token God Mode - NansΞn**
  * **Wallet Profiler - NansΞn**
* [**Token Terminal**](https://www.tokenterminal.com)
* [**DeFi Pulse**](https://defipulse.com)
* [**Etherscan**](https://etherscan.io)
  * [**以太坊指标 - Etherscan**](https://etherscan.io/charts)

**著名地址:** [**0xb1**](https://debank.com/profile/0xb1adceddb2941033a090dd166a462fe1c2029484)\*\*\*\*

***

{% tabs %}
{% tab title="Crypto分析⼯具" %}

| Crypto分析⼯具         |                                                                                                                                                                                                                       |
| ------------------ | --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| Dune Analytics     | [https://dune.xyz/home](https://www.google.com/url?q=https://dune.xyz/home\&sa=D\&source=editors\&ust=1631628890252000\&usg=AOvVaw0UQ_DrSz2jvY7Dt_xvmij7)                                                             |
| Nansen             | [https://www.nansen.ai/](https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.nansen.ai/\&sa=D\&source=editors\&ust=1631628890252000\&usg=AOvVaw2wNDwvYiAQtF4xJ2wxPQB8)                                                           |
| Messari            | [https://messari.io/](https://www.google.com/url?q=https://messari.io/\&sa=D\&source=editors\&ust=1631628890252000\&usg=AOvVaw23BFRmzPBNBADYC-dwtDm2)                                                                 |
| Token Terminal     | [https://www.tokenterminal.com/](https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.tokenterminal.com/\&sa=D\&source=editors\&ust=1631628890253000\&usg=AOvVaw1JzQ8dMTCCDc08VrVnA8-1)                                           |
| DeFi Pulse         | [https://defipulse.com/](https://www.google.com/url?q=https://defipulse.com/\&sa=D\&source=editors\&ust=1631628890253000\&usg=AOvVaw3lIkPUO53ip0W6BMQUKZxe)                                                           |
| DeBank             | [https://debank.com/](https://www.google.com/url?q=https://debank.com/\&sa=D\&source=editors\&ust=1631628890253000\&usg=AOvVaw2s8SBZIpW4ifvfEQS9VAQj)                                                                 |
| Etherscan          | [https://etherscan.io/](https://www.google.com/url?q=https://etherscan.io/\&sa=D\&source=editors\&ust=1631628890254000\&usg=AOvVaw1zARlFpt7aK69X6Gm6kWY2)                                                             |
| CoinMetrics        | [https://coinmetrics.io/](https://www.google.com/url?q=https://coinmetrics.io/\&sa=D\&source=editors\&ust=1631628890254000\&usg=AOvVaw1q1Uxg2h7g6DOJUpoeYtoR)                                                         |
| Glassnode          | [https://glassnode.com/](https://www.google.com/url?q=https://glassnode.com/\&sa=D\&source=editors\&ust=1631628890254000\&usg=AOvVaw2G4D7f-WhHS8qpnRIviJd1)                                                           |
| IntotheBlock       | [https://www.intotheblock.com/](https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.intotheblock.com/\&sa=D\&source=editors\&ust=1631628890255000\&usg=AOvVaw2Kw1yPu0uIDWeEEos5s0ZV)                                             |
| Crypto Quant       | [https://cryptoquant.com/overview/btc-exchange-flows](https://www.google.com/url?q=https://cryptoquant.com/overview/btc-exchange-flows\&sa=D\&source=editors\&ust=1631628890255000\&usg=AOvVaw1-scxN5RAq3xfFURGXiMiw) |
| The Block research | [https://www.theblockresearch.com/](https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.theblockresearch.com/\&sa=D\&source=editors\&ust=1631628890255000\&usg=AOvVaw0PVQftlAUDiqCs7U6H3-vB)                                     |
| Lunacrash          | [https://lunarcrush.com/](https://www.google.com/url?q=https://lunarcrush.com/\&sa=D\&source=editors\&ust=1631628890256000\&usg=AOvVaw14BLfLL7kPFT0y9MjvjZmh)                                                         |
| Tokentrove         | [https://tokentrove.com/](https://www.google.com/url?q=https://tokentrove.com/\&sa=D\&source=editors\&ust=1631628890256000\&usg=AOvVaw2JNU-ggnBBHj-SxhnqPbpg)                                                         |
| Uniwhales          | [https://uniwhales.io/](https://www.google.com/url?q=https://uniwhales.io/\&sa=D\&source=editors\&ust=1631628890257000\&usg=AOvVaw3VtoJ-nof0HfpFpQlyJ_1b)                                                             |
| Crypto投资⽅信息        |                                                                                                                                                                                                                       |
| Cypherhunter       | [https://www.cypherhunter.com/zh-hans/](https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.cypherhunter.com/zh-hans/\&sa=D\&source=editors\&ust=1631628890257000\&usg=AOvVaw3hQCSffOdSNgKP6NQZnK8K)                             |
| Crunchbase         | [https://www.crunchbase.com/](https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.crunchbase.com/\&sa=D\&source=editors\&ust=1631628890258000\&usg=AOvVaw2LhEglU8j0-98ynY0iNDj8)                                                 |
| Block123           | [https://www.block123.com/](https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.block123.com/\&sa=D\&source=editors\&ust=1631628890258000\&usg=AOvVaw2nLy2gscOW2YGAPv_V6To3)                                                     |
| 项⽬信息平台             |                                                                                                                                                                                                                       |
| ICOdrops           | [https://icodrops.com/](https://www.google.com/url?q=https://icodrops.com/\&sa=D\&source=editors\&ust=1631628890258000\&usg=AOvVaw33f3TnVxx8YFbGAj8XIIVc)                                                             |
| CoinMarketCap      | [https://coinmarketcap.com/zh/](https://www.google.com/url?q=https://coinmarketcap.com/zh/\&sa=D\&source=editors\&ust=1631628890259000\&usg=AOvVaw2zfF2b7KuK5hsPT0amtuBL)                                             |
| CoinGecko          | [https://www.coingecko.com/zh](https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.coingecko.com/zh\&sa=D\&source=editors\&ust=1631628890259000\&usg=AOvVaw2RSAc0HuW5Ghfw78UwlRND)                                               |
| ICO Bench          | [https://icobench.com/](https://www.google.com/url?q=https://icobench.com/\&sa=D\&source=editors\&ust=1631628890259000\&usg=AOvVaw1qJ2fKxiub7Yx-j9LRxy4T)                                                             |
| {% endtab %}       |                                                                                                                                                                                                                       |
| {% endtabs %}      |                                                                                                                                                                                                                       |

## 比特币指标

{% tabs %}
{% tab title="MVRV" %}

* [**MVRV**](https://www.blockchain.com/charts/mvrv)**（Blockchain.com）或** [**MVRV**](https://charts.woobull.com/bitcoin-mvrv-ratio/)**（Woobull）**

  \*\*\*\*[**MVRV**](https://medium.com/@kenoshaking/bitcoin-market-value-to-realized-value-mvrv-ratio-3ebc914dbaee)**：3.7**（表示高估）和 **1**（表示低估）\
  （以7天平均为准）
* [**同架策略**](https://share.weiyun.com/xUw40P4l)\*\*\*\*

{% content-ref url="<https://github.com/guhhhhaa/bfm-gitbook/blob/v3.0.0/bfm-eco.-bi-fang-meng-sheng-tai/broken-reference/README.md>" %}
<https://github.com/guhhhhaa/bfm-gitbook/blob/v3.0.0/bfm-eco.-bi-fang-meng-sheng-tai/broken-reference/README.md>
{% endcontent-ref %}
{% endtab %}

{% tab title="S2F" %}

* [**S2F目标价格**](https://www.qkl123.com/data/s2f/btc)
* [**https://stats.buybitcoinworldwide.com/stock-to-flow/**](https://stats.buybitcoinworldwide.com/stock-to-flow/)
  {% endtab %}

{% tab title="山寨季节指数" %}
<https://www.blockchaincenter.net/altcoin-season-index/>
{% endtab %}

{% tab title="彩虹图🌈" %}

* [彩虹图🌈](https://www.blockchaincenter.net/bitcoin-rainbow-chart/)
  {% endtab %}

{% tab title="永续合约费率" %}

* [永续合约费率](https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/futures/funding-history/1) - 币安

当市场趋势看涨时，资金费率为正，此时多头将向空头支付资金费率。相反，当市场看跌时，资金费率为负，此时是空头交易者向多头支付
{% endtab %}

{% tab title="HODL Waves" %}

* [HODL Waves](https://unchained-capital.com/hodlwaves/) - Unchained Capital
  {% endtab %}

{% tab title="🚩减半" %}

* [**比特币减半 - QKL123**](https://www.qkl123.com/data/halve/btc)
* [**比特币减半 - 币安学院**](https://academy.binance.com/zh/halving)\
  [**其他数据**](https://www.qkl123.com/data)
  {% endtab %}

{% tab title="CFTC持仓报告" %}

* [原报告](https://www.cftc.gov/dea/futures/deacmesf.htm)
* [可视化报告](https://www.tradingster.com/cot/futures/fin/133741)
  {% endtab %}

{% tab title="USDT发行量" %}

* [**USDT市值TradingView**](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/CRYPTOCAP-USDT/) **&** [**USDT发行量与比特币价格**](https://www.longhash.com/cn/livecharts/USDT-circulation-and-bitcoin-prices) **&** [**USDT市值**](https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/tether/)

USDT市值增长的导数，决定了比特币的涨跌
{% endtab %}
{% endtabs %}

### 指标组

{% tabs %}
{% tab title="仪表盘" %}

* [**Datamish**](https://datamish.com)\*\*\*\*
* [**Coinfarm**](https://coinfarm.online)
* [**Bfxrate**](https://bfxrates.com)
* [**Tensorcharts**](https://www.tensorcharts.com)\\
* [**B站视频**](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1Be411s7pj)
  {% endtab %}

{% tab title="NVT & NVTS" %}

* [**NVT**](https://charts.woobull.com/bitcoin-nvt-ratio/) **&** [**NVTS**](https://charts.woobull.com/bitcoin-nvt-signal/) **（Woobull）或** [**NVT**](https://www.blockchain.com/charts/nvt) **&** [**NVTS**](https://www.blockchain.com/charts/nvts)**（Blockchain.com）**\
  \*\*\*\*[**NVT**](https://woobull.com/introducing-nvt-ratio-bitcoins-pe-ratio-use-it-to-detect-bubbles/#fnref2)**：90**（表示高估）和 **40**（表示低估）\
  **如果价格小幅下跌后，NVT依然>90，说明是泡沫，应该立即离场。**\
  \*\*\*\*[**NVTS**](https://woobull.com/nvt-signal-a-new-trading-indicator-to-pick-tops-and-bottoms/)**：150**（表示高估）和 **45**（表示低估）

![](/files/P09Wm4JchSLhYTwhDBHX)
{% endtab %}

{% tab title="梅特卡夫定律 Metcalfe" %}

* [Bitcoin Market Cap should be $40b according to Metcalfe's law](https://woobull.com/bitcoin-market-cap-should-be-40b-according-to-metcalfes-law/)
* [Metcalfe’s Law and Bitcoin’s Value](https://dcresearch.medium.com/metcalfes-law-and-bitcoin-s-value-2b99c7efd1fa)
* [基于交易指标衍生而来的**NVT (Network Value to Transactions)**，和基于用户指标衍生而来的**梅特卡夫指标(Metcalfe's law)**](https://new.qq.com/omn/20190807/20190807A0K3X200.html?pc)\*\*\*\*
  {% endtab %}

{% tab title="Sharpe Ratio" %}
\*\*\*\*[**Sharpe Ratio**](https://charts.woobull.com/bitcoin-risk-adjusted-return/)
{% endtab %}

{% tab title="活跃地址数" %}
[**比特币活跃地址数**](https://www.qkl123.com/data/active_address/btc)的平方和其价值之间存在一定对应关系，符合梅特卡夫定律。
{% endtab %}

{% tab title="RVT" %}

* [**RVT介绍**](https://medium.com/@_Checkmatey_/the-bitcoin-rvt-ratio-a-high-conviction-macro-indicator-615b68715b77)\*\*\*\*

![](/files/w78OqjJNCDce1RDl2rCr)

* RVT (90D) 在顶部的翻转往往意味着市场的熊转牛，在市场在成本未提升的情况下开始活跃；\
  随着价格的升高，在人们的交易作用下，市场成本开始与交易量同步放大，
* RVT 持续维持在底部代表着市场的狂热，虽然难以预知顶部，但是投资者需要变得更加保守；
* 牛转熊后，交易量的萎缩往往要比市场成本更多，所以 RVT 会升高，交易量持续萎缩的情况下，投资者可以考虑更激进一些。
* 极端行情使得市场成本下降的同时放大了交易量，RVT 有所下降，不能作为进入牛市的讯号，需稳定后再做观察。

![](/files/On9HKujlyAX1wdY25CSX)
{% endtab %}

{% tab title="UTXO" %}

#### UTXO (< 1 month)

一月以下的 UTXO 的增加，代表着更多的 Holder 参与到市场交易中；突然的极端行情会造成该值的异常升高，这种情况下另行分析背后原因对市场状态的影响。

我们看到在2017年的牛市，该比例曾达到 23%，该值作为经验，应该是非常危险的信号了。实际上，可能当一月以下的 UTXO 占比超过 15% 时就是把仓位调低趋于保守的时候了（如从10% 调低至 5% ）；在此值长时间处于低位 10% 附近时，可以考虑以定投的方式调高仓位（如从 5% 调至 10%）。
{% endtab %}

{% tab title="布林带" %}

* [**TradingView**](https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ooNfs1M1/)\
  **下跌至第二条布林线离场**

![](/files/mlmaTCkMfhJDOECCmmGt)
{% endtab %}

{% tab title="每日活动地址 DAA" %}
![](/files/DUMI3QSphm2EVhLuDo9e)
{% endtab %}
{% endtabs %}

### MVRV和S2F投资策略

{% content-ref url="/pages/3Rld74epzMUMkbINdFwj" %}
[卓尔金历法旧版页面](/3.0.0-1/bfm-da-bi-fang-meng-shu-chan/zi-chan-pei-zhi/the-tzolkin-calendar/the-tzolkin-calendar-0.md)
{% endcontent-ref %}

## 纳指指标

[**The total market capitalization of Nasdaq 100**](https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/market-capitalization/nasdaq_100)\*\*\*\*

{% tabs %}
{% tab title="CAPE" %}

* [周期性调节市盈率（CAPE）](https://ycharts.com/indicators/cyclically_adjusted_pe_ratio)或 [席勒市盈率](https://www.gurufocus.cn/indicator/shiller_pe)。周期性调节市盈率=实际（通货膨胀调节后）股价/10年平均美股收益（[**介绍**](https://www.forbes.com/sites/danrunkevicius/2021/12/28/the-stock-market-is-the-cheapest-since-1980/?sh=5c81ea9952be)）>40泡沫，<10正常，仓位(40-x)/30\*100
  {% endtab %}

{% tab title="ECY" %}

* [超额收益指数（ECY）](https://www.macromicro.me/charts/27100/us-shiller-ecy)=（1/周期性调节市盈率（CAPE））-10年实际利率（[**介绍**](https://www.sohu.com/a/436891292_146833)）（+正数具有投资价值，-负数没有投资价值）
  {% endtab %}

{% tab title="巴菲特指标" %}

* [巴菲特指标](http://www.currentmarketvaluation.com/models/buffett-indicator.php) 或 [巴菲特指标](https://www.gurufocus.cn/indicator/buffett-market-valuation)（推荐）。以股市总市值占GNP（或GDP）的比例来衡量一国股市的估值水平，又被称作资产证券化率指标。（[**介绍**](https://www.sohu.com/a/437526687_146833)）一般情况，巴菲特指标位于70%至80%之间时是买入美股的好时机。如果巴菲特指标超过100%，则投资者需要关注美国股市的风险，并应该考虑持币观察。
  {% endtab %}

{% tab title="价值大师网" %}

* [**价值大师网**](https://www.gurufocus.cn)\*\*\*\*
  {% endtab %}
  {% endtabs %}
